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Red237
983239.9
2619103.3
1684101.3
Blue135
571280.5
607189.1
607370.9
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions28724902004006008001,000237135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
103.30.0
103.3103.3
Auto15.1
Teleop46.3
End42.0
red by 14.2
89.10.0
89.189.1
Auto8.9
Teleop34.5
End45.8
Second
101.30.0
101.3101.3
Auto11.7
Teleop49.6
End40.0
red by 20.8
5712
#11
80.50.0
80.580.5
Auto10.5
Teleop43.1
End26.9
Third
9832
#16
39.90.0
39.939.9
Auto4.4
Teleop21.7
End13.8
blue by 31.0
6073
#14
70.90.0
70.970.9
Auto7.5
Teleop37.4
End26.0