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Red305
551659.9
583987.8
630472.3
Blue165
188482.6
461395.5
636142.6
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions215236100300400305165

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
87.82.7
82.485.1
Auto10.3
Teleop41.4
End36.2
blue by 7.8
95.51.5
95.594.0
Auto19.4
Teleop47.2
End29.0
Second
6304
#20
72.32.4
69.872.3
Auto16.1
Teleop26.3
End30.0
blue by 10.4
82.61.5
82.681.0
Auto11.2
Teleop43.9
End27.6
Third
5516
#21
59.92.7
54.557.1
Auto4.1
Teleop28.8
End26.9
red by 17.3
6361
#32
42.61.5
42.541.0
Auto6.4
Teleop26.5
End9.7