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Quarterfinal 4-32017 Shenzhen Regional
Red215
643948.5
551576.8
179756.9
Blue195
636255.7
639256.2
545164.7
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions177186100150200250300215195

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5515
#3
76.81.2
72.4→73.7
Auto12.0
Teleop34.5
End30.4
red by 12.2
5451
#17
64.70.5
64.1→64.7
Auto7.9
Teleop28.0
End28.8
Second
1797
#25
56.91.2
52.5→53.8
Auto6.1
Teleop31.7
End19.1
red by 0.8
6392
#8
56.20.5
55.6→56.2
Auto7.5
Teleop24.2
End24.4
Third
6439
#23
48.51.2
44.1→45.3
Auto6.7
Teleop20.2
End21.5
blue by 7.3
6362
#9
55.70.5
55.2→55.7
Auto5.8
Teleop27.1
End22.8