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Quarterfinal 4-22017 Shenzhen Regional
Red165
643948.5
551576.8
179756.9
Blue170
636255.7
639256.2
545164.7
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions177187100150200250300350165170

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
76.80.1
72.572.4
Auto12.0
Teleop34.5
End30.4
red by 12.2
5451
#17
64.70.3
64.464.1
Auto7.9
Teleop28.0
End28.8
Second
1797
#25
56.90.1
52.652.5
Auto6.1
Teleop31.7
End19.1
red by 0.8
56.20.3
55.955.6
Auto7.5
Teleop24.2
End24.4
Third
6439
#23
48.50.1
44.244.1
Auto6.7
Teleop20.2
End21.5
blue by 7.3
55.70.3
55.555.2
Auto5.8
Teleop27.1
End22.8