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Quarterfinal 4-12017 Shenzhen Regional
Red280
643948.5
551576.8
179756.9
Blue245
636255.7
639256.2
545164.7
42%Model gave it58%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions169181100150200250300280245

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
76.82.5
70.072.5
Auto12.0
Teleop34.5
End30.4
red by 12.2
5451
#17
64.72.0
62.464.4
Auto7.9
Teleop28.0
End28.8
Second
1797
#25
56.92.5
50.152.6
Auto6.1
Teleop31.7
End19.1
red by 0.8
56.22.0
53.955.9
Auto7.5
Teleop24.2
End24.4
Third
6439
#23
48.52.5
41.644.2
Auto6.7
Teleop20.2
End21.5
blue by 7.3
55.72.0
53.455.5
Auto5.8
Teleop27.1
End22.8