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Red150
648735.3
551576.8
636255.7
Blue120
582034.6
544952.4
582376.6
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15014550100200250150120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
76.81.2
57.658.8
Auto12.0
Teleop34.5
End30.4
red by 0.3
76.62.9
60.857.9
Auto9.8
Teleop35.4
End31.3
Second
55.71.2
38.539.6
Auto5.8
Teleop27.1
End22.8
red by 3.3
5449
#11Sur
52.42.9
36.833.9
Auto8.0
Teleop23.7
End20.7
Third
6487
#35Sur
35.31.2
38.539.7
Auto8.0
Teleop27.9
End-0.7
red by 0.6
5820
#36
34.62.9
48.745.7
Auto3.6
Teleop22.2
End8.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed