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Qual 162017 Shenzhen Regional
Red161
676660.9
638640.0
461395.5
Blue165
630472.3
639336.2
635632.3
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1541120200300400500161165

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4613
#2
95.52.3
70.2→72.5
Auto19.4
Teleop47.2
End29.0
red by 23.3
6304
#20Sur
72.35.9
44.6→50.5
Auto16.1
Teleop26.3
End30.0
Second
6766
#15Sur
60.92.3
45.9→48.2
Auto9.9
Teleop30.7
End20.4
red by 24.7
6393
#41
36.25.9
34.5→40.4
Auto4.2
Teleop29.1
End2.9
Third
6386
#39
40.02.3
24.1→26.4
Auto5.7
Teleop26.9
End7.5
red by 7.7
6356
#27
32.35.9
33.0→38.9
Auto3.7
Teleop25.7
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed