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Semifinal 1-12017 Shenzhen Regional
Red240
545370.6
544952.4
637559.5
Blue190
630472.3
583987.8
551659.9
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions19221450100150250300350400240190

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5453
#19
70.60.8
71.5→72.3
Auto8.2
Teleop36.9
End25.5
blue by 17.2
5839
#4
87.81.0
80.1→79.1
Auto10.3
Teleop41.4
End36.2
Second
6375
#22
59.50.8
60.3→61.1
Auto8.0
Teleop21.9
End29.6
blue by 12.8
6304
#20
72.30.9
67.7→66.9
Auto16.1
Teleop26.3
End30.0
Third
5449
#11
52.40.7
53.2→53.9
Auto8.0
Teleop23.7
End20.7
blue by 7.5
5516
#21
59.91.0
52.2→51.2
Auto4.1
Teleop28.8
End26.9