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Quarterfinal 1-22017 Shenzhen Regional
Red205
602846.4
582376.6
552277.2
Blue215
637559.5
544952.4
545370.6
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions21418950100150250300350400205215

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
77.20.1
77.077.2
Auto16.4
Teleop42.3
End18.5
red by 6.6
5453
#19
70.60.9
70.671.5
Auto8.2
Teleop36.9
End25.5
Second
76.60.1
76.476.6
Auto9.8
Teleop35.4
End31.3
red by 17.1
6375
#22
59.50.9
59.460.3
Auto8.0
Teleop21.9
End29.6
Third
6028
#29
46.40.1
46.246.4
Auto5.7
Teleop22.5
End18.2
blue by 6.0
5449
#11
52.40.8
52.453.2
Auto8.0
Teleop23.7
End20.7