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Semifinal 1-22017 Shenzhen Regional
Red145
545370.6
544952.4
637559.5
Blue265
630472.3
583987.8
551659.9
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions19521050100150250300350400145265

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5453
#19
70.61.1
72.3→71.1
Auto8.2
Teleop36.9
End25.5
blue by 17.2
5839
#4
87.81.8
79.1→81.0
Auto10.3
Teleop41.4
End36.2
Second
6375
#22
59.51.1
61.1→60.0
Auto8.0
Teleop21.9
End29.6
blue by 12.8
6304
#20
72.31.7
66.9→68.6
Auto16.1
Teleop26.3
End30.0
Third
5449
#11
52.41.0
53.9→52.9
Auto8.0
Teleop23.7
End20.7
blue by 7.5
5516
#21
59.91.8
51.2→53.1
Auto4.1
Teleop28.8
End26.9