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Red308
289648.8
4253123.0
3132107.9
Blue290
1661114.5
427077.2
372153.4
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3022470100200400500600308290

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
123.00.1
122.9123.0
Auto14.5
Teleop51.3
End57.2
red by 8.5
114.51.0
113.6114.5
Auto12.2
Teleop50.9
End51.4
Second
107.90.1
107.8107.9
Auto23.2
Teleop44.5
End40.1
red by 30.7
77.21.0
76.277.2
Auto8.4
Teleop37.9
End30.9
Third
2896
#31
48.80.1
48.748.8
Auto6.6
Teleop32.4
End9.8
blue by 4.6
3721
#22
53.41.1
52.353.4
Auto6.4
Teleop38.9
End8.1