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Red329
289648.8
4253123.0
3132107.9
Blue305
1661114.5
427077.2
372153.4
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2992420100200400500600329305

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
123.01.2
121.8122.9
Auto14.5
Teleop51.3
End57.2
red by 8.5
114.51.5
112.1113.6
Auto12.2
Teleop50.9
End51.4
Second
107.91.2
106.6107.8
Auto23.2
Teleop44.5
End40.1
red by 30.7
77.21.5
74.776.2
Auto8.4
Teleop37.9
End30.9
Third
2896
#31
48.81.3
47.448.7
Auto6.6
Teleop32.4
End9.8
blue by 4.6
3721
#22
53.41.7
50.752.3
Auto6.4
Teleop38.9
End8.1