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Quarterfinal 4-32017 Hawaii Regional
Red305
372153.4
427077.2
1661114.5
Blue255
246564.8
244487.0
285377.5
53%Model gave it47%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions240237200250300305255

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1661
#4
114.51.8
108.3→110.1
Auto12.2
Teleop50.9
End51.4
red by 27.6
2444
#8
87.00.7
86.3→87.0
Auto6.4
Teleop40.6
End39.9
Second
4270
#3
77.21.8
70.9→72.7
Auto8.4
Teleop37.9
End30.9
blue by 0.4
2853
#25
77.50.7
76.9→77.5
Auto6.9
Teleop33.1
End37.6
Third
3721
#22
53.42.0
46.5→48.4
Auto6.4
Teleop38.9
End8.1
blue by 11.4
2465
#12
64.80.6
64.2→64.8
Auto9.0
Teleop32.6
End23.2