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Quarterfinal 4-22017 Hawaii Regional
Red255
372153.4
427077.2
1661114.5
Blue230
246564.8
244487.0
285377.5
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions239236200250300255230

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
114.50.7
107.6108.3
Auto12.2
Teleop50.9
End51.4
red by 27.6
87.00.1
86.286.3
Auto6.4
Teleop40.6
End39.9
Second
77.20.7
70.270.9
Auto8.4
Teleop37.9
End30.9
blue by 0.4
2853
#25
77.50.1
76.876.9
Auto6.9
Teleop33.1
End37.6
Third
3721
#22
53.40.8
45.746.5
Auto6.4
Teleop38.9
End8.1
blue by 11.4
2465
#12
64.80.1
64.164.2
Auto9.0
Teleop32.6
End23.2