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Quarterfinal 4-12017 Hawaii Regional
Red255
372153.4
427077.2
1661114.5
Blue285
246564.8
244487.0
285377.5
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions236232150200250300255285

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1661
#4
114.50.8
106.8→107.6
Auto12.2
Teleop50.9
End51.4
red by 27.6
2444
#8
87.01.5
84.7→86.2
Auto6.4
Teleop40.6
End39.9
Second
4270
#3
77.20.8
69.5→70.2
Auto8.4
Teleop37.9
End30.9
blue by 0.4
2853
#25
77.51.5
75.2→76.8
Auto6.9
Teleop33.1
End37.6
Third
3721
#22
53.40.8
44.8→45.7
Auto6.4
Teleop38.9
End8.1
blue by 11.4
2465
#12
64.81.4
62.7→64.1
Auto9.0
Teleop32.6
End23.2