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Quarterfinal 3-22017 Hawaii Regional
Red259
243746.8
243888.4
244367.8
Blue314
388072.6
388281.3
244582.0
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2032540100300400500600700800259314

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2438
#2
88.41.5
86.9→88.4
Auto12.8
Teleop35.1
End40.6
red by 6.4
2445
#17
82.01.4
81.2→82.6
Auto16.1
Teleop40.3
End25.6
Second
2443
#10
67.81.3
66.4→67.8
Auto12.2
Teleop34.0
End21.6
blue by 13.5
3882
#9
81.31.2
80.6→81.9
Auto6.4
Teleop38.1
End36.7
Third
2437
#26
46.81.3
45.5→46.8
Auto5.2
Teleop30.9
End10.8
blue by 25.7
3880
#18
72.61.2
71.9→73.2
Auto12.1
Teleop41.7
End18.8