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Quarterfinal 1-12017 Iowa Regional
Red280
663045.5
876111.9
2512122.6
Blue208
96777.4
16774.7
320679.8
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions307237100200400500280208

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2512
#7
122.60.5
121.9→121.4
Auto14.5
Teleop51.1
End56.9
red by 42.8
3206
#19
79.80.8
80.4→79.6
Auto5.5
Teleop34.2
End40.1
Second
876
#1
111.90.5
111.3→110.7
Auto11.6
Teleop50.4
End49.9
red by 34.5
967
#23
77.40.8
78.0→77.3
Auto10.9
Teleop43.6
End22.9
Third
6630
#22
45.50.7
44.6→44.0
Auto7.7
Teleop39.9
End-2.1
blue by 29.2
167
#12
74.70.8
75.3→74.6
Auto6.3
Teleop42.4
End26.1