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Semifinal 1-12017 Iowa Regional
Red395
663045.5
876111.9
2512122.6
Blue255
563891.1
453693.1
109485.8
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions302292150200250350400450500395255

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2512
#7
122.60.3
123.0→123.3
Auto14.5
Teleop51.1
End56.9
red by 29.5
4536
#6
93.10.7
96.1→95.3
Auto13.2
Teleop37.3
End42.5
Second
876
#1
111.90.3
112.3→112.6
Auto11.6
Teleop50.4
End49.9
red by 20.8
5638
#17
91.10.7
94.2→93.4
Auto11.6
Teleop49.0
End30.6
Third
6630
#22
45.50.4
46.0→46.4
Auto7.7
Teleop39.9
End-2.1
blue by 40.3
1094
#31
85.80.5
87.9→87.4
Auto7.2
Teleop41.5
End37.1