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Quarterfinal 1-22017 Iowa Regional
Red445
663045.5
876111.9
2512122.6
Blue246
96777.4
16774.7
320679.8
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions305234100200400500445246

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2512
#7
122.61.5
121.4→123.0
Auto14.5
Teleop51.1
End56.9
red by 42.8
3206
#19
79.80.1
79.6→79.8
Auto5.5
Teleop34.2
End40.1
Second
876
#1
111.91.5
110.7→112.3
Auto11.6
Teleop50.4
End49.9
red by 34.5
967
#23
77.40.1
77.3→77.4
Auto10.9
Teleop43.6
End22.9
Third
6630
#22
45.52.0
44.0→46.0
Auto7.7
Teleop39.9
End-2.1
blue by 29.2
167
#12
74.70.1
74.6→74.7
Auto6.3
Teleop42.4
End26.1