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Semifinal 1-22017 Iowa Regional
Red330
663045.5
876111.9
2512122.6
Blue205
563891.1
453693.1
109485.8
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions303289100200400500600330205

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2512
#7
122.60.5
123.3→123.8
Auto14.5
Teleop51.1
End56.9
red by 29.5
4536
#6
93.12.3
95.3→93.1
Auto13.2
Teleop37.3
End42.5
Second
876
#1
111.90.5
112.6→113.1
Auto11.6
Teleop50.4
End49.9
red by 20.8
5638
#17
91.12.3
93.4→91.1
Auto11.6
Teleop49.0
End30.6
Third
6630
#22
45.50.7
46.4→47.1
Auto7.7
Teleop39.9
End-2.1
blue by 40.3
1094
#31
85.81.6
87.4→85.8
Auto7.2
Teleop41.5
End37.1