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Quarterfinal 2-32017 Midwest Regional
Red302
409693.5
582277.6
173690.9
Blue215
233896.4
193982.1
203970.3
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions28926104006008001,0001,2001,4001,600302215

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4096
#42
93.50.7
96.3→97.0
Auto5.5
Teleop37.6
End50.4
blue by 2.8
2338
#15
96.40.8
97.2→96.4
Auto9.5
Teleop42.3
End44.6
Second
1736
#21
90.90.7
93.6→94.3
Auto14.5
Teleop41.0
End35.3
red by 8.7
1939
#5
82.10.8
82.9→82.1
Auto13.7
Teleop43.7
End24.7
Third
5822
#4
77.60.7
80.4→81.1
Auto5.7
Teleop39.6
End32.4
red by 7.3
2039
#36
70.30.8
71.1→70.3
Auto9.0
Teleop33.5
End27.8