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Red391
162598.1
151195.5
2451100.7
Blue328
3620108.9
1405105.4
421398.1
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions294343100200400500600391328

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2451
#10
100.71.3
97.899.1
Auto15.6
Teleop49.5
End35.6
blue by 8.3
3620
#14
108.92.0
110.9108.9
Auto16.3
Teleop55.0
End37.6
Second
1625
#11
98.11.3
95.296.6
Auto12.1
Teleop44.6
End41.4
blue by 7.3
105.42.0
107.4105.4
Auto12.1
Teleop50.1
End43.2
Third
95.51.3
92.693.9
Auto14.3
Teleop40.5
End40.6
blue by 2.6
4213
#20
98.12.0
100.198.1
Auto11.7
Teleop35.9
End50.5