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Quarterfinal 3-12017 Midwest Regional
Red345
162598.1
151195.5
2451100.7
Blue284
202291.5
1592112.7
4655102.8
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions278337100200400500345284

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2451
#10
100.71.5
93.1→94.6
Auto15.6
Teleop49.5
End35.6
blue by 12.0
1592
#7
112.71.2
114.4→113.2
Auto12.9
Teleop46.5
End53.3
Second
1625
#11
98.11.5
90.5→92.0
Auto12.1
Teleop44.6
End41.4
blue by 4.7
4655
#28
102.81.2
104.5→103.3
Auto10.7
Teleop44.4
End47.6
Third
1511
#2
95.51.5
87.9→89.4
Auto14.3
Teleop40.5
End40.6
red by 4.0
2022
#35
91.51.2
93.1→91.9
Auto12.4
Teleop41.3
End37.7