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Quarterfinal 3-22017 Midwest Regional
Red340
162598.1
151195.5
2451100.7
Blue287
202291.5
1592112.7
4655102.8
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2843320100200400500600700340287

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2451
#10
100.70.9
94.6→95.5
Auto15.6
Teleop49.5
End35.6
blue by 12.0
1592
#7
112.70.5
113.2→112.7
Auto12.9
Teleop46.5
End53.3
Second
1625
#11
98.10.9
92.0→92.9
Auto12.1
Teleop44.6
End41.4
blue by 4.7
4655
#28
102.80.5
103.3→102.8
Auto10.7
Teleop44.4
End47.6
Third
1511
#2
95.50.9
89.4→90.3
Auto14.3
Teleop40.5
End40.6
red by 4.0
2022
#35
91.50.5
91.9→91.5
Auto12.4
Teleop41.3
End37.7