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Quarterfinal 1-12017 Central Illinois Regional
Red299
222052.5
2481140.5
4143118.5
Blue115
233874.8
11185.5
465586.1
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions320263100200400500299115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2481
#1
140.50.1
135.7→135.8
Auto23.8
Teleop57.7
End59.0
red by 54.4
4655
#11
86.13.9
89.7→85.8
Auto8.5
Teleop38.5
End39.1
Second
4143
#2
118.50.1
113.7→113.8
Auto15.0
Teleop45.0
End58.5
red by 33.1
111
#10
85.53.9
89.1→85.2
Auto4.0
Teleop42.6
End38.8
Third
2220
#23
52.50.1
46.1→46.2
Auto11.5
Teleop26.3
End14.6
blue by 22.3
2338
#25
74.83.9
78.4→74.5
Auto6.5
Teleop28.1
End40.1