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Semifinal 1-12017 Central Illinois Regional
Red368
222052.5
2481140.5
4143118.5
Blue195
173682.2
162588.1
335255.3
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3362150100300400500600368195

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2481
#1
140.50.9
137.8→138.7
Auto23.8
Teleop57.7
End59.0
red by 52.5
1625
#6
88.10.7
86.6→85.9
Auto11.0
Teleop40.0
End37.1
Second
4143
#2
118.50.9
115.8→116.7
Auto15.0
Teleop45.0
End58.5
red by 36.3
1736
#14
82.20.8
80.4→79.6
Auto9.8
Teleop36.4
End36.1
Third
2220
#23
52.51.2
48.8→50.0
Auto11.5
Teleop26.3
End14.6
blue by 2.8
3352
#38
55.30.7
53.7→53.0
Auto2.3
Teleop21.5
End31.5