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Quarterfinal 1-22017 Central Illinois Regional
Red506
222052.5
2481140.5
4143118.5
Blue255
233874.8
11185.5
465586.1
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions322248100200300400500506255

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2481
#1
140.52.0
135.8→137.8
Auto23.8
Teleop57.7
End59.0
red by 54.4
4655
#11
86.10.3
85.8→86.1
Auto8.5
Teleop38.5
End39.1
Second
4143
#2
118.52.0
113.8→115.8
Auto15.0
Teleop45.0
End58.5
red by 33.1
111
#10
85.50.3
85.2→85.5
Auto4.0
Teleop42.6
End38.8
Third
2220
#23
52.52.7
46.2→48.8
Auto11.5
Teleop26.3
End14.6
blue by 22.3
2338
#25
74.80.3
74.5→74.8
Auto6.5
Teleop28.1
End40.1