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Red145
464556.4
623776.0
208175.4
Blue288
173682.2
162588.1
335255.3
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions222216150200250300350145288

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
76.01.8
76.074.2
Auto6.3
Teleop32.3
End37.4
blue by 12.1
88.12.2
81.784.0
Auto11.0
Teleop40.0
End37.1
Second
2081
#12
75.41.8
75.473.6
Auto7.0
Teleop43.0
End25.4
blue by 6.8
1736
#14
82.22.7
74.777.4
Auto9.8
Teleop36.4
End36.1
Third
4645
#19
56.41.8
58.156.4
Auto3.1
Teleop27.2
End26.0
red by 1.1
3352
#38
55.32.2
48.951.1
Auto2.3
Teleop21.5
End31.5