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Red250
424147.1
584786.9
2169102.9
Blue249
582274.5
318484.4
409681.3
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions247253150200300350400250249

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
102.90.4
102.4102.8
Auto6.7
Teleop48.2
End48.0
red by 18.5
84.40.2
84.084.1
Auto10.1
Teleop42.3
End32.0
Second
86.90.4
86.486.8
Auto8.7
Teleop31.6
End46.6
red by 5.6
4096
#27
81.30.1
80.981.0
Auto6.1
Teleop25.9
End49.2
Third
4241
#37
47.10.4
46.647.0
Auto8.6
Teleop24.9
End13.6
blue by 27.3
5822
#22
74.50.1
74.174.2
Auto5.9
Teleop37.7
End30.9