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Red291
544276.2
623776.0
208175.4
Blue308
173682.2
162588.1
335255.3
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2362220100300400500291308

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5442
#13
76.21.9
74.476.2
Auto7.9
Teleop28.8
End39.6
blue by 11.8
88.12.6
84.086.6
Auto11.0
Teleop40.0
End37.1
Second
76.01.7
74.276.0
Auto6.3
Teleop32.3
End37.4
blue by 6.2
1736
#14
82.23.1
77.480.4
Auto9.8
Teleop36.4
End36.1
Third
2081
#12
75.41.7
73.675.4
Auto7.0
Teleop43.0
End25.4
red by 20.1
3352
#38
55.32.6
51.153.7
Auto2.3
Teleop21.5
End31.5