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Red260
424147.1
584786.9
2169102.9
Blue245
175677.7
70695.0
282675.1
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2342650100200300400500260245

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
102.90.8
99.6100.3
Auto6.7
Teleop48.2
End48.0
red by 7.9
706
#9
95.00.1
94.994.8
Auto5.9
Teleop40.7
End48.5
Second
86.90.8
83.584.3
Auto8.7
Teleop31.6
End46.6
red by 9.2
1756
#20
77.70.1
77.677.5
Auto7.7
Teleop28.5
End41.6
Third
4241
#37
47.10.8
43.544.3
Auto8.6
Teleop24.9
End13.6
blue by 28.0
2826
#15
75.10.1
74.974.9
Auto6.7
Teleop39.1
End29.3