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Red305
424147.1
584786.9
2169102.9
Blue255
175677.7
70695.0
282675.1
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions237264100200300400500305255

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
102.92.1
100.3102.4
Auto6.7
Teleop48.2
End48.0
red by 7.9
706
#9
95.00.2
94.895.0
Auto5.9
Teleop40.7
End48.5
Second
86.92.1
84.386.4
Auto8.7
Teleop31.6
End46.6
red by 9.2
1756
#20
77.70.2
77.577.7
Auto7.7
Teleop28.5
End41.6
Third
4241
#37
47.12.3
44.346.6
Auto8.6
Teleop24.9
End13.6
blue by 28.0
2826
#15
75.10.2
74.975.1
Auto6.7
Teleop39.1
End29.3