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Quarterfinal 4-12017 Central Illinois Regional
Red361
409681.3
318484.4
582274.5
Blue182
464697.0
450094.9
369568.0
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions22628650100150200250350400450361182

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3184
#4
84.41.9
78.1→80.0
Auto10.1
Teleop42.3
End32.0
blue by 12.6
4646
#17
97.02.2
98.0→95.8
Auto15.8
Teleop42.0
End39.1
Second
4096
#27
81.31.7
75.5→77.2
Auto6.1
Teleop25.9
End49.2
blue by 13.6
4500
#8
94.91.8
95.7→93.9
Auto15.2
Teleop43.9
End35.8
Third
5822
#22
74.51.7
68.7→70.4
Auto5.9
Teleop37.7
End30.9
red by 6.4
3695
#21
68.02.4
69.1→66.7
Auto2.5
Teleop27.4
End38.1