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Quarterfinal 4-22017 Central Illinois Regional
Red285
409681.3
318484.4
582274.5
Blue305
464697.0
450094.9
369568.0
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions234276100200300400500285305

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3184
#4
84.41.7
80.0→81.7
Auto10.1
Teleop42.3
End32.0
blue by 12.6
4646
#17
97.01.3
95.8→97.1
Auto15.8
Teleop42.0
End39.1
Second
4096
#27
81.31.6
77.2→78.7
Auto6.1
Teleop25.9
End49.2
blue by 13.6
4500
#8
94.91.1
93.9→95.0
Auto15.2
Teleop43.9
End35.8
Third
5822
#22
74.51.6
70.4→71.9
Auto5.9
Teleop37.7
End30.9
red by 6.4
3695
#21
68.01.4
66.7→68.2
Auto2.5
Teleop27.4
End38.1