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Red170
11182.5
204070.0
593454.5
Blue305
208182.7
531683.5
203979.9
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2192640100300400170305

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
111
#16
82.51.2
84.983.7
Auto5.7
Teleop37.7
End39.2
blue by 1.0
83.51.3
82.984.3
Auto9.4
Teleop38.2
End35.9
Second
70.01.2
72.471.2
Auto8.3
Teleop27.7
End34.1
blue by 12.6
2081
#21
82.71.3
82.183.4
Auto6.9
Teleop39.2
End36.5
Third
5934
#22
54.51.2
55.754.5
Auto7.1
Teleop24.1
End23.4
blue by 25.4
2039
#15
79.91.3
79.380.7
Auto8.4
Teleop37.4
End34.1