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Red271
582270.9
4485101.7
167587.4
Blue198
174778.6
26985.9
424782.0
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2942590100200400500600271198

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
101.70.3
101.8101.5
Auto13.4
Teleop44.8
End43.6
red by 15.8
269
#28
85.91.2
87.085.9
Auto13.2
Teleop35.5
End37.2
Second
87.40.3
87.487.1
Auto11.3
Teleop41.2
End34.9
red by 5.4
82.01.2
83.182.0
Auto11.4
Teleop32.5
End38.1
Third
5822
#14
70.90.3
71.070.7
Auto7.3
Teleop32.6
End30.9
blue by 7.7
1747
#19
78.61.2
79.878.6
Auto10.8
Teleop37.2
End30.6