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Red266
11182.5
204070.0
46167.7
Blue265
203979.9
531683.5
208182.7
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions23226750100150200300350400266265

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
111
#16
82.50.8
83.784.5
Auto5.7
Teleop37.7
End39.2
blue by 1.0
83.50.7
84.383.5
Auto9.4
Teleop38.2
End35.9
Second
70.00.8
71.272.0
Auto8.3
Teleop27.7
End34.1
blue by 12.6
2081
#21
82.70.7
83.482.7
Auto6.9
Teleop39.2
End36.5
Third
461
#18
67.70.8
68.969.7
Auto10.5
Teleop33.4
End23.8
blue by 12.2
2039
#15
79.90.7
80.779.9
Auto8.4
Teleop37.4
End34.1