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Red300
582270.9
4485101.7
167587.4
Blue165
424142.7
335269.9
17174.1
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2951790100400500300165

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
101.71.1
98.9100.0
Auto13.4
Teleop44.8
End43.6
red by 27.6
171
#33
74.10.4
72.972.4
Auto8.7
Teleop32.7
End32.6
Second
87.41.1
84.285.3
Auto11.3
Teleop41.2
End34.9
red by 17.4
69.90.4
68.768.3
Auto7.7
Teleop31.2
End31.1
Third
5822
#14
70.91.1
67.868.9
Auto7.3
Teleop32.6
End30.9
red by 28.2
4241
#26
42.70.4
43.142.7
Auto6.6
Teleop25.3
End10.8