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Red259
317684.1
292108.5
829111.0
Blue449
174197.6
1720114.4
4926102.0
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions360360300350400259449

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
829
#15
111.01.6
111.6110.1
Auto10.8
Teleop53.2
End47.1
blue by 3.3
114.40.7
115.5116.2
Auto15.5
Teleop59.0
End39.9
Second
292
#5
108.51.6
109.1107.6
Auto8.3
Teleop48.0
End52.3
red by 6.5
4926
#21
102.00.7
103.1103.8
Auto8.9
Teleop44.8
End48.2
Third
3176
#13
84.11.6
84.783.1
Auto13.1
Teleop40.3
End30.7
blue by 13.5
97.60.7
98.799.4
Auto11.7
Teleop41.9
End44.0