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Red450
317684.1
292108.5
829111.0
Blue239
174197.6
1720114.4
4926102.0
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions34137502006008001,0001,200450239

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
829
#15
111.01.0
110.1111.0
Auto10.8
Teleop53.2
End47.1
blue by 3.3
114.41.8
116.2114.4
Auto15.5
Teleop59.0
End39.9
Second
292
#5
108.51.0
107.6108.5
Auto8.3
Teleop48.0
End52.3
red by 6.5
4926
#21
102.01.8
103.8102.0
Auto8.9
Teleop44.8
End48.2
Third
3176
#13
84.11.0
83.184.1
Auto13.1
Teleop40.3
End30.7
blue by 13.5
97.61.8
99.497.6
Auto11.7
Teleop41.9
End44.0