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Quarterfinal 1-22017 Indiana State Championship
Red300
314785.3
135117.7
234100.5
Blue445
5188102.1
649896.6
152990.0
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions356339150200250300400450500300445

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
135
#1
117.72.6
120.5→117.9
Auto11.0
Teleop53.7
End53.0
red by 15.6
5188
#19
102.11.4
100.3→101.6
Auto7.9
Teleop52.5
End41.7
Second
234
#10
100.52.6
103.3→100.7
Auto14.3
Teleop56.2
End30.1
red by 3.9
6498
#8
96.61.4
94.8→96.1
Auto13.1
Teleop51.8
End31.7
Third
3147
#24
85.32.6
88.1→85.5
Auto8.1
Teleop40.2
End37.0
blue by 4.8
1529
#17
90.01.4
88.2→89.6
Auto9.0
Teleop39.7
End41.3