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Red255
152990.0
649896.6
5188102.1
Blue452
829111.0
292108.5
317684.1
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions35233502006008001,000255452

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5188
#19
102.10.8
102.9102.1
Auto7.9
Teleop52.5
End41.7
blue by 9.0
829
#15
111.01.3
107.5108.8
Auto10.8
Teleop53.2
End47.1
Second
96.60.8
97.496.6
Auto13.1
Teleop51.8
End31.7
blue by 12.0
292
#5
108.51.3
105.0106.3
Auto8.3
Teleop48.0
End52.3
Third
1529
#17
90.00.8
90.990.1
Auto9.0
Teleop39.7
End41.3
red by 5.9
3176
#13
84.11.3
80.581.8
Auto13.1
Teleop40.3
End30.7