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Red255
498284.7
71126.6
427294.6
Blue395
410395.9
4485109.9
458072.8
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions416283100200500600255395

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
71
#3
126.61.2
128.1126.8
Auto15.0
Teleop58.3
End53.3
red by 16.7
109.90.3
110.2110.5
Auto13.3
Teleop49.4
End47.2
Second
4272
#14
94.61.2
96.094.8
Auto13.7
Teleop54.8
End26.1
blue by 1.3
4103
#22
95.90.3
96.196.4
Auto14.9
Teleop44.8
End36.2
Third
4982
#12
84.71.2
86.184.9
Auto11.9
Teleop37.6
End35.2
red by 11.8
4580
#16
72.80.3
73.073.4
Auto9.9
Teleop31.1
End31.8