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Red395
498284.7
71126.6
427294.6
Blue265
410395.9
4485109.9
458072.8
81%Model gave it19%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4112850100200500600700395265

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
71
#3
126.60.3
126.8126.6
Auto15.0
Teleop58.3
End53.3
red by 16.7
109.90.6
110.5109.9
Auto13.3
Teleop49.4
End47.2
Second
4272
#14
94.60.3
94.894.5
Auto13.7
Teleop54.8
End26.1
blue by 1.3
4103
#22
95.90.6
96.495.9
Auto14.9
Teleop44.8
End36.2
Third
4982
#12
84.70.3
84.984.6
Auto11.9
Teleop37.6
End35.2
red by 11.8
4580
#16
72.80.6
73.472.8
Auto9.9
Teleop31.1
End31.8