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Red215
645185.1
317684.1
548494.0
Blue265
314785.3
219789.1
46182.6
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions265263200220240280300320340215265

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5484
#18
94.02.2
86.083.7
Auto8.1
Teleop40.2
End45.8
red by 5.0
2197
#27
89.10.1
85.185.2
Auto12.1
Teleop38.7
End38.2
Second
6451
#23
85.12.2
85.683.3
Auto6.3
Teleop37.6
End41.1
blue by 0.2
3147
#24
85.30.1
86.686.8
Auto8.1
Teleop40.2
End37.0
Third
3176
#13
84.12.2
77.274.9
Auto13.1
Teleop40.3
End30.7
red by 1.5
461
#30
82.60.1
81.281.3
Auto10.2
Teleop39.9
End32.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
3%Rotor oddsMissed1%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed