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Red299
174197.6
4926102.0
174773.1
Blue311
458072.8
672194.0
4485109.9
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2782710100200400500600700800299311

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4926
#21
102.02.4
100.9103.2
Auto8.9
Teleop44.8
End48.2
blue by 7.9
109.93.2
105.0108.2
Auto13.3
Teleop49.4
End47.2
Second
97.62.4
95.097.4
Auto11.7
Teleop41.9
End44.0
red by 3.7
6721
#25
94.03.2
85.989.1
Auto7.8
Teleop44.1
End42.1
Third
1747
#26
73.12.4
67.369.7
Auto14.7
Teleop36.4
End21.9
red by 0.3
4580
#16
72.83.2
67.470.5
Auto9.9
Teleop31.1
End31.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
3%Rotor oddsMissed4%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed