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Red323
86886.4
349488.3
102494.6
Blue285
5188105.5
672187.1
4103100.3
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions278318150200250300350400450500323285

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1024
#25
94.61.1
93.394.4
Auto11.8
Teleop49.1
End33.7
blue by 10.9
5188
#13
105.50.9
106.0105.2
Auto9.1
Teleop50.2
End46.1
Second
88.31.1
87.088.1
Auto7.9
Teleop37.9
End42.5
blue by 12.0
4103
#17
100.30.9
100.9100.0
Auto11.8
Teleop41.2
End47.4
Third
868
#19
86.41.1
85.186.2
Auto8.0
Teleop42.8
End35.6
blue by 0.7
87.10.9
87.786.8
Auto7.4
Teleop40.3
End39.5