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Red450
219785.7
1501123.9
234106.7
Blue398
101898.2
135116.4
174188.1
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions359314100200400500600450398

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
123.90.7
125.0125.7
Auto13.3
Teleop58.5
End52.0
red by 7.6
135
#5
116.40.1
116.4116.3
Auto12.3
Teleop48.5
End55.6
Second
234
#3
106.70.7
107.8108.4
Auto13.5
Teleop55.8
End37.4
red by 8.5
1018
#10
98.20.1
98.298.1
Auto8.1
Teleop50.7
End39.4
Third
2197
#15
85.70.7
86.887.4
Auto8.1
Teleop40.3
End37.2
blue by 2.4
1741
#28
88.10.1
88.188.0
Auto6.3
Teleop36.6
End45.2