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Red111
14170.4
46182.5
82970.5
Blue291
174176.3
410390.0
86886.4
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2392750100200400500600700111291

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
461
#3
82.53.0
85.582.5
Auto4.3
Teleop28.0
End50.2
blue by 7.4
90.00.8
90.991.7
Auto10.7
Teleop33.0
End46.2
Second
829
#12
70.52.7
73.270.5
Auto9.9
Teleop37.8
End22.8
blue by 16.0
868
#29
86.40.9
87.588.4
Auto5.3
Teleop35.5
End45.6
Third
141
#19
70.42.7
73.170.4
Auto10.0
Teleop30.9
End29.4
blue by 5.9
1741
#23
76.30.8
77.278.0
Auto4.2
Teleop28.7
End43.4