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Red280
492671.7
23483.7
101878.2
Blue162
498254.1
394058.9
394778.1
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions232207100300400280162

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
234
#4
83.70.8
78.379.2
Auto11.4
Teleop37.9
End34.4
red by 5.6
3947
#24
78.11.0
81.180.1
Auto8.6
Teleop33.7
End35.8
Second
1018
#30
78.20.8
72.873.7
Auto13.7
Teleop40.5
End24.0
red by 19.3
58.91.0
61.960.9
Auto9.7
Teleop34.1
End15.1
Third
4926
#15
71.70.9
65.866.7
Auto9.9
Teleop32.2
End29.7
red by 17.6
4982
#16
54.11.0
57.156.1
Auto7.5
Teleop25.8
End20.8